The card you want at the price you want will eventually show up
We modeled this win rate, a percentage between 0% and 100% (though generally between 35% and 70%), as a linear function of mana cost (the cost of a card in-game), and rarity (how rare it is to see the card in draft)
In most cases, Pokmon cant evolve on the same turn theyre played (or the first turn of the game) and retain any damage counters (but not status effects), energy cards and Pokmon Tools from the previous card
With art and flavor, the Goblin Grenade went from being an actual grenade, to a self-directed detonation, to simply a Goblin tied up and thrown with dynamite in his mouth
While most of these Leaders have since struggled to keep their place in the meta, Zoro and Trafalgar Law stayed strong from their December 2022 release through to set six
In these cases, I tend to ask much closer to the NM price regardless of condition because you are likely to be the only person in the room with one for trade